Analytics
The Up side is at 90.5%, up 40 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026, the highest close was 90.5% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 90.5% on 25 Oct 2026.
$57.48K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $43.05K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $14.6K bought Up and $3.96K bought Down; the largest was a $2.88K buy of Up at 72.1¢.
The largest Up position is chilloutTt with 3.1K shares; the largest Down position is gobblewobble with 7.2K. Ten wallets hold 71.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 12:16 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 90.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gobblewobble | Down | 7.22K |
| chilloutTt | Up | 3.05K |
| Impressive-Steak | Up | 2.12K |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-25-2026
| Pesky-Hole |
| Up |
| 1.83K |
| suntori | Down | 1.66K |
| HellsAngelx | Down | 897.53 |
| Niseko | Up | 799.99 |
| Ideal-Friction | Up | 788.37 |
| c231dw1 | Up | 700 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Up | 597.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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