Analytics
The Up side is at 57%, up 19 points from 37.5% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 57% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 57% on 23 Oct 2026.
$24.42K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $46.04K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.82K bought Up and $3.92K bought Down.
The largest Up position is c231dw1 with 2.2K shares; the largest Down position is gobblewobble with 2.7K. Ten wallets hold 68.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 6:36 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 37.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 57.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gobblewobble | Down | 2.72K |
| c231dw1 | Up | 2.2K |
| Impressive-Steak | Down | 2.08K |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-23-2026
| coinfilippe |
| Down |
| 2.01K |
| easypredict | Up | 1.6K |
| Indigo Orbit 893C | Up | 927.88 |
| Ideal-Friction | Down | 799 |
| BipTheDip | Up | 798.56 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Up | 787 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Up | 729.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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