Bitcoin Up or Down in April?

cryptoResolved

Up, settled May 1, 2025 UTC

100.0%

Down

0.0%

Final Up 100¢Final Down 0¢

Lifetime volume

$181.4K

Resolved

Settled

May 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Up on 1 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Up at 99.6%. The Up side opened at 59.5% on 2 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 2 Apr 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 1 May 2025 and the lowest 26.5% on 9 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 47.5% on 10 Apr 2025. $181.41K traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 2, 8:20 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 2 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025

Up price, first and latest
Observed	Up price
2 Apr 2025	59.5%
1 May 2025	99.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Benigno	Down	2.45K
Mortified-Doorway	Down	124.39
esquireio	Down	111.11
Rubbery-Centimeter	Up	2.38

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 01 Apr '25 00:00 in the ET timezone is lower than the final "Close" price for the 30 Apr '25 23:59 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 01 Apr '25 00:00 in the ET timezone is higher than the final "Close" price for the 30 Apr '25 23:59 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.