Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 36.5%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 6 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2024 to 8 Mar 2024, the highest close was 57.5% on 7 Mar 2024 and the lowest 27.5% on 6 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 57.5% on 7 Mar 2024. $199.84K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 Mar 2024 – 8 Mar 2024, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2024 | 27.5% |
| 8 Mar 2024 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Viktorcrypto | No | 520.69 |
| paco | No | 32.69 |
| Ancountless | No | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On March 5, Bitcoin hit an all time high, with the highest candlestick on Binance BTC_USDT displaying a price of 69,000. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than 69,000.00 for the first time according to Binance's candlestick prices by March 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). Note: The final 30 minute candle from 11:30 to 12:00 counts. If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-new-all-time-high-by-friday
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