Analytics
Resolved Negative on 29 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Negative at 50%. The Positive side opened at 51% on 27 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 27 Aug 2026 and the low 50% on 29 Aug 2026. $52.19 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 30, 4:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Positive price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Aug 2026 – 29 Aug 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Positive price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | 51.0% |
| 29 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bjprolo | Positive | 8 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Friday, August 28, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-etf-flows-on-august-28-2026
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