What is the “Bitcoin all time high by March 31?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Bitcoin all time high by March 31? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 20 Jan 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT between 26 Dec '24 11:00 and 31 Mar '25 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “high” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "high" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "high" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

8 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 21, 9:27 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-all-time-high-by-march) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Bitcoin all time high by March 31?

Market referencebitcoin-all-time-high-by-marchUpdated Jan 21, 2025 UTC

cryptoResolved

Yes · settled Jan 20, 2025 UTCbitcoinath

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$321.9K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 20, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Jan 21, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jan 21, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

95.42 / 141.78K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

206

Loaded notional

$202.85K

No buy at 0.1%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jan 20, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+4.0 pts

Range

61.5% - 87.0%

Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC to Jan 20, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
kim888	No	141.72K	10.7%	$141.72K	Jan 17, 10:17 AM UTC
anon1m	Yes	64.22	71.0%

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

Bitcoin Price oddsHow high, and how low, do traders expect Bitcoin to go?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Bitcoin all time high by March 31?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Bitcoin all time high by March 31? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 20 Jan 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT between 26 Dec '24 11:00 and 31 Mar '25 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “high” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "high" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "high" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

kim888

141.72K

10.7%

$141.72K

Jan 17, 10:17 AM UTC

anon1m

Yes

64.22

71.0%

Trader	Current holding value
anon1m	$64.22
abobuzz	$20
RedF0x	$7.14
150BPM	$1.49
together	$1.28
0xPatrick-797	$1.28
kim888	$0
KKK21	$0