Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.670 | $2.05 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 13.33 |
| $0.120 |
| $1.6 |
| Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100 or more times during the next White House press briefing?No | sell | 3.67 | $0.994 | $3.65 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100 or more times during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.490 | $1.8 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 24-31?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.710 | $1.28 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during January press conference?Yes | sell | 2.96 | $0.010 | $0.03 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 2.96 | $0.550 | $1.63 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.999 | $2.63 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 2.64 | $0.979 | $2.58 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 48% on January 31?Yes | sell | 20.15 | $0.020 | $0.4 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | sell | 9.52 | $0.072 | $0.69 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?No | sell | 74.62 | $0.020 | $1.49 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.490 | $3.93 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be greater than 80?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.230 | $0.77 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI DirectorYes | sell | 16.66 | $0.040 | $0.67 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.070 | $2.5 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?No | buy | 12.57 | $0.460 | $5.78 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?Yes | sell | 14.09 | $0.410 | $5.78 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?No | buy | 33.16 | $0.500 | $16.58 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | sell | 13.35 | $0.490 | $6.54 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | sell | 4.44 | $0.420 | $1.86 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 24-31?No | sell | 3.57 | $0.210 | $0.75 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.550 | $0.95 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.530 | $0.62 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.930 | $0.99 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Kash Patel be Trump's FBI director?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.110 | $1.22 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.770 | $1.02 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.570 | $1.21 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.880 | $1.42 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.390 | $1.02 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?No | buy | 14.81 | $0.270 | $4 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be greater than 80?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 24-31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI DirectorYes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.105 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will POTUS tweet 15-19 times Jan 22-29?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.280 | $1.75 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will POTUS tweet 15-19 times Jan 22-29?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?Yes | sell | 0.61 | $0.150 | $0.09 | Jan 23, 2025 |