Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 53% on 29 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 29 Feb 2024 to 2 Mar 2024, the highest close was 53% on 29 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 2 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 3% on 1 Mar 2024. $137.18K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 29 Feb 2024 – 2 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Feb 2024 | 53.0% |
| 2 Mar 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| petalsix | No | 1 |
| truthteller | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than $68,789 for the first time according to Binance between February 28, 2024, 10:00 AM ET and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-all-time-high-by-friday
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