Analytics
Yes is at 3.1%, down 41 points from 44% when the market opened on 17 Dec 2025.
Across the 297 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 5 Nov 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 2.9% on 31 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.5%; a month before, 6.2%. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 47.5% on 7 Jan 2026.
$68.56 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.88M since listing. The order book holds $121.46K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.74K bought Yes and $87.14K bought No; the largest was a $12.87K sell of No at 90.0¢.
The largest Yes position is dtdctr with 201.6K shares; the largest No position is Serene-Decision with 132K. Ten wallets hold 60.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 57 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 297 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 44.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 3.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dtdctr | Yes | 201.59K |
| Serene-Decision | No | 131.98K |
| ndb1 | No | 90.07K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-all-time-high-by
| apenator |
| Yes |
| 85.44K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 57.19K |
| DFV2 | No | 49.22K |
| oegdatam | No | 45.05K |
| Swift Maven 1848 | Yes | 41.22K |
| HAOI | No | 32.51K |
| Eargherah | Yes | 28.43K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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