Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 12 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 71 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2025 to 21 May 2025, the highest close was 91% on 20 May 2025 and the lowest 43.5% on 9 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 64.5% on 23 Apr 2025. $267.8K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 71 points, 12 Mar 2025 – 21 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2025 | 58.5% |
| 21 May 2025 | 91.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elPolloLoco | No | 1.6K |
| z64Uh4EriYop | No | 214.83 |
| 0xAzest | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT between 11 Mar '25 12:00 and 31 Dec '25 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-all-time-high-before-2026
| No |
| 100 |
| Toodkai | Yes | 90.04 |
| Raja | Yes | 37.04 |
| appachi | No | 24.2 |
| n15p18c | Yes | 20.83 |
| 0xDAD | No | 15.3 |
| marcusbarry | No | 14.3 |
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