Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 15?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$239.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 15, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 15 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 76.5% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 15 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 76.5% on 9 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 98.8% on 14 Jan 2026. $239.12K traded over the market's life.

43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 17, 12:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 15 Jan 2026, chart shows 70%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 Jan 2026	76.5%
15 Jan 2026	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
PhongLeXBT	No	30.93K
qqqq88888	No	17.59K
whosevenseven	No	11K
siriusghost	No	10K

10 of 43 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.