Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 31?

Resolved

Yes, settled Dec 31, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$341.4K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Dec 31, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 31 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.4%. Yes opened at 68.5% on 25 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 25 Dec 2025 to 31 Dec 2025, the highest close was 97.4% on 31 Dec 2025 and the lowest 65% on 26 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 97.4% on 31 Dec 2025. $341.41K traded over the market's life.

162 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:31 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 25 Dec 2025 – 31 Dec 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Dec 2025	68.5%
31 Dec 2025	97.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
dslnc8r41n0jj	No	20.99K
firexnow	No	10.47K
Rararayy	No	9.96K
Erka-RoadTo1M	No	6.44K

10 of 162 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.