Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 16?

Resolved

Yes, settled Dec 16, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$359.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Dec 16, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 16 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 60.5%. Yes opened at 89% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 16 Dec 2025, the highest close was 93.5% on 12 Dec 2025 and the lowest 60.5% on 16 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 60.5% on 16 Dec 2025. $359.15K traded over the market's life.

132 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 18, 12:36 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 16 Dec 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Dec 2025	89.0%
16 Dec 2025	60.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Momentumtrades	No	10K
tellmewhy111	No	6.09K
Schpiro	No	4.03K
Lunar Vector 1342	No	4.02K

10 of 132 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.