Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 14 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40.5% on 14 Oct 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 14.5% on 17 Oct 2026. $210.2K traded over the market's life.
83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 14 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | 40.5% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VotaVOX | Yes | 14.69K |
| SingW | Yes | 10.52K |
| TwilightTide | Yes | 10K |
| thismonth | Yes | 4.73K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-20-2026
| Dearest-Realm | Yes | 4.05K |
| cryptowhale2020 | Yes | 3.15K |
| worldmastersviklissan | Yes | 3K |
| XiaoFengQin | Yes | 2.39K |
| sedoslav | Yes | 1.38K |
| Stonkbrokers | Yes | 1.29K |
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