Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81.5%. Yes opened at 69.5% on 12 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 69.5% on 12 Oct 2026 and the low 18.5% on 18 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 45.5% on 15 Oct 2026. $103.11K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 4:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 12 Oct 2026 – 18 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | 69.5% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| moneyman6911 | Yes | 3.47K |
| Corny-Mincemeat | Yes | 2.97K |
| Solar Pulse 53BE | Yes | 1.95K |
| MagnificentMoron | Yes | 928.99 |
| Tadeuszhh | Yes | 816.26 |
| easypredict | Yes | 726.8 |
| Liadbe | Yes | 608.41 |
| Bishhh | Yes | 429.39 |
| BipTheDip | Yes | 361.31 |
| Nippy-Veneer | Yes | 313.41 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-18-2026
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