Analytics
Yes is at 38%, up 6 points from 32% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026, the highest close was 38% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 32% on 27 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 38% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 2?”.
$171.5 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $13.48K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Lovebirdtrader with 104 shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 104.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 32.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 38.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gt197 | No | 104.48 |
| Lovebirdtrader | Yes | 104.48 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 40 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-2-2026
| PBot-10 |
| No |
| 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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