Analytics
Yes is at 62.5%, down 5.5 points from 68% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 68% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 62.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 62.5% on 24 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 28?”.
$606.82 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.19K since listing. The order book holds $40.24K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 29 trades, $227.41 bought Yes and $501.71 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Rapid Maven 7394 with 750 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 1.6K.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 9:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–72%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 68.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 62.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 1.61K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 749.77 |
| gt197 | Yes | 557.1 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-28-2026
| kingofcoinflips |
| Yes |
| 245 |
| PBot-10 | No | 157.42 |
| ADENAWER809 | Yes | 99.58 |
| mtm101 | Yes | 98.91 |
| apper | Yes | 26 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | No | 19.31 |
| Misty Comet 8562 | Yes | 13.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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