Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 98.5% on 28 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 4 Oct 2026 and the low 98.5% on 28 Sep 2026. $450.78K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 2:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 28 Sep 2026 – 4 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | 98.5% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 100.0% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JesusSavesU | No | 273.59K |
| Crimson Kestrel 7D6A | No | 35K |
| Lunar Voyager 5F3A | No | 17K |
| Misty Tide 891B | No | 13K |
| Keen Signal 4C82 | No | 9K |
| Keen Ledger C605 | No | 9K |
| Keen Meteor E893 | No | 8K |
| Coral Comet 7496 | No | 8K |
| Swift Signal 92D4 | No | 8K |
| Christian333 | No | 6.88K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-4-2026
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