Analytics
Yes is at 99.4%, about where the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026, the highest close was 99.4% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 98.9% on 27 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 1?”.
$500 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.05K since listing. The order book holds $40.55K, with a 0.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 928 shares; the largest No position is Rapid Maven 7394 with 500.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 98.9% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 99.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 928.18 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 500.01 |
| Amber Comet AA90 | No | 280.18 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-1-2026
| gt197 | No | 230 |
| apper | Yes | 82 |
| Wild-Firewall-Developer | No | 21.72 |
| Foratata | Yes | 20.01 |
| harlighet | No | 15 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | Yes | 10 |
| Last-Plaintiff-Lad | Yes | 6.72 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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