Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 20?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 20, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$267.7K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 20, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 20 Jan 2026, the highest close was 13% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 6% on 16 Jan 2026. $267.66K traded over the market's life.

31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 8:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 20 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Jan 2026	9.5%
20 Jan 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Favorite-Divider	Yes	26.12K
sonofkong	Yes	6K
DDD2033	Yes	3K
Sore-Research	Yes	1.71K

10 of 31 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.