Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 73% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2025 to 18 Nov 2025, the highest close was 73% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 18 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 11.5% on 15 Nov 2025. $220.08K traded over the market's life.
62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 20, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 18 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 73.0% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRR | Yes | 21.56K |
| Keen Atlas 7F72 | Yes | 21K |
| PolyBlaster | Yes | 12.5K |
| SaylorMC | Yes | 11.55K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-18
| 7153649820 | Yes | 3.6K |
| frankie27 | Yes | 3K |
| GOMDUDU | Yes | 1.8K |
| linxuyuan | Yes | 1.65K |
| Honored-Filly | Yes | 1K |
| mamaa | Yes | 1K |
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