Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 1.9% on 20 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2025 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 1.9% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Jan 2026. $138.67K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 20 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | 1.9% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TruePoliticsMan | Yes | 3.13K |
| jeff1110 | Yes | 1.2K |
| Unhealthy-Honeydew | Yes | 1K |
| Disastrous-Insectarium | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bill-clinton-in-jail-by-december-31
| Similar-Tributary | Yes | 919.66 |
| QuantumRizzler67 | Yes | 833.33 |
| Noted-Heron | Yes | 718.59 |
| Worst-Folk | Yes | 500 |
| Authorized-Hostel | Yes | 500 |
| Glistening-Flair | Yes | 428.57 |
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