Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 201.43 | $0.113 | $22.78 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.31K |
| $0.001 |
| $2.31 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.85 | $0.180 | $2.31 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 146.36 | $0.055 | $8.05 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 126.49 | $0.040 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | sell | 584.25 | $0.022 | $13.05 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 584.25 | $0.040 | $23.37 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 29.61 | $0.052 | $1.55 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 923.08 | $0.013 | $12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 307.24 | $0.029 | $9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.471 | $19.63 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 115.06 | $0.674 | $77.55 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 77.56 | $0.270 | $20.94 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.140 | $30 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 104.17 | $0.480 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 654.3 | $0.011 | $7.2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 931.84 | $0.050 | $46.59 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 547.23 | $0.390 | $213.42 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.450 | $25 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.190 | $25 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.390 | $150 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 115.67 | $0.461 | $53.35 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 311.75 | $0.321 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 9.61 | $0.380 | $3.65 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.112 | $7 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 101.3 | $0.197 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?Yes | buy | 57.66K | $0.001 | $57.66 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No | buy | 20K | $0.002 | $40 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.003 | $15 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.180 | $10.59 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.830 | $5.84 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.160 | $5.33 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 2.81 | $0.910 | $2.56 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.130 | $2.24 | Jul 30, 2025 |