Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 5 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 17.5% on 5 Nov 2025 and the low 0.7% on 6 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 0.7% on 6 Nov 2025. $41.73K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 5 Nov 2025 – 6 Nov 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2025 | 17.5% |
| 6 Nov 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tupac | Yes | 15.69K |
| FridayNight | Yes | 1.2K |
| xA73582F6c6B942BDE38149e43A215194485Db423 | Yes | 1K |
| flowBlow | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 901 |
| BidenVoter | Yes | 897.87 |
| congforward | Yes | 531.48 |
| Themoneyprinter | Yes | 448.11 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 294 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 186.81 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On January 3, 2024, Bill Ackman tweeted a 4,064-word novella (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/1742441534627184760). The potential victory of Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral race has renewed speculation of an Ackman sequel. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill Ackman’s current X (Twitter) account, @BillAckman, posts any single tweet of 1,000 words or more by November 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Threads do not aggregate. Only the original version of the tweet as first posted will be considered. The word count will be determined by pasting the tweet’s full text into wordcounter.net.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bill-ackman-tweets-another-manifesto-by-wednesday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
