Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 11% on 2 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, the highest close was 32% on 19 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 32% on 19 Jul 2024. $34.33K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 2 Jul 2024 – 1 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2024 | 11.0% |
| 1 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| buffguyincrypto | Yes | 234.62 |
| Jealous-Shipper | Yes | 100 |
| jorz | Yes | 76.87 |
| Numb-Task | Yes | 10.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if US president Joe Biden is recorded crying at any point between July 1 and July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, 'crying' is defined as the visible shedding of tears that can be clearly observed on Biden's face. The 'crying' can take place at any time Biden is on camera, by video or by still images. The primary resolution source for this market will be publicly available pictures or video, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-recorded-crying-in-july
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| asi-356 | No | 0.06 |
| Gemini456 | No | 0.04 |
| Blaise Pascal | No | 0.02 |
