Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 30 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 30 Mar 2024 to 1 May 2024, the highest close was 3.5% on 30 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2024. $91.67K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 30 Mar 2024 – 1 May 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Mar 2024 | 3.5% |
| 1 May 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Elliotwood | Yes | 58.82 |
| professorx | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-drops-out-before-may
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
