Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 3 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 126 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 5.5% on 3 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Nov 2024. $130.64K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 6:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 126 points, 3 Jul 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2024 | 5.5% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if US President Joe Biden nominates any US Supreme Court Justices intended to increase the total number of justices beyond 9 by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Biden ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date, it may immediately resolve to "No". The transfer of power to an "acting president" will not count toward the resolution of this market (e.g. the vice president becomes acting president for the duration of a surgery). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US Government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-court-packing
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 0.09 |
| dgph0lywuj8f | No | 0.07 |
| boltSketch9 | No | 0.07 |
| crystalVibe3 | No | 0.05 |
| lvrgwghn | No | 0.04 |
| Offbeat-Whorl | No | 0.04 |
| klmftr | No | 0.04 |
