Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 47.05 | $0.380 | $17.88 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 199.98 |
| $0.240 |
| $48 |
| Nov 1, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.990 | $0.1 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?No | sell | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.591 | $118.19 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Jew" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.060 | $2.4 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Jew" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 538 favorite when forecast is turned on?Trump | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 UFC 304: Muhammad Mokaev vs. Manel KapeMokaev | sell | 57.46 | $0.610 | $35.05 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| UFC 304: Muhammad Mokaev vs. Manel KapeMokaev | buy | 17.46 | $0.630 | $11 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| UFC 304: Leon Edwards vs. Belal MuhammadEdwards | buy | 114.29 | $0.700 | $80 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Kamala be Nominee before Convention?Yes | sell | 79.99 | $0.960 | $76.79 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.070 | $11.2 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 France train attack claimed by terror org?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.050 | $16.67 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Elizabeth Warren" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?No | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| 538 favorite when forecast is turned on?Trump | buy | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| France train attack claimed by terror org?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.120 | $40 | Jul 26, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50.01 | $0.388 | $19.4 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Will Tim Ryan be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 631.27 | $0.002 | $1.26 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Biden's withdrawal speech be live?Yes | buy | 42.67 | $0.920 | $39.26 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 390 | $0.019 | $7.41 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 540 | $0.019 | $10.26 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Biden cognitive test in July?Yes | sell | 350.87 | $0.021 | $7.37 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Democratic VP nominee be a white man?No | sell | 174.98 | $0.060 | $10.5 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8.44 | $0.376 | $3.17 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Who will 538 project as favorite on July 26?Trump | sell | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Kamala be Nominee before Convention?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.560 | $16.8 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.065 | $12.35 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Biden court packing?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.050 | $5.5 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.031 | $6.2 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.094 | $9.4 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.059 | $5.9 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 7K | $0.003 | $21 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| UFC Fight Night: Who will win - Garcia vs. ChoiGarcia | buy | 8 | $0.750 | $6 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.047 | $14.1 | Jul 20, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.504 | $50.4 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Will Democratic VP nominee be a white man?No | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| UFC Fight Night: Who will win - Durden vs. SilvaSilva | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Biden cognitive test in July?Yes | buy | 350.88 | $0.057 | $20 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.044 | $8.8 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 141 | $0.179 | $25.24 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.047 | $5.64 | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.046 | $0.64 | Jul 19, 2024 |