Analytics
Resolved Up on 12 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Up at 98.4%. The Up side opened at 83.5% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 66 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 12 Oct 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 24 Sep 2026 and the lowest 61% on 6 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 88.5% on 8 Sep 2026. $4.4K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 13, 11:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 12 Oct 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 83.5% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 98.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/berlin-state-election-turnout-up-or-down-20260806112259580
| Down |
| 14 |
| TENETENET | Down | 10 |
| hesure | Down | 10 |
| triklozoid | Down | 5 |
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