Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 17 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 75 daily closes on record from 17 Apr 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 18% on 27 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.2 points up, to 12.6% on 13 May 2026. $4.75K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 5:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 17 Apr 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2026 | 11.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AIisme | Yes | 406.45 |
| ProudIsraeliGuy | Yes | 380 |
| pampam123 | Yes | 345.37 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ben-gvir-out-as-israeli-minister-of-national-security-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 100 |
| niglette | Yes | 92.86 |
| Royal Harbor 217A | Yes | 61 |
| diablebleu | Yes | 59.54 |
| Unfortunate-Wolf | Yes | 53.46 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Lil241005 | Yes | 41.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
