Analytics
Yes is at 10.5%, down 2 points from 12.5% when the market opened on 19 Sep 2026.
The high was 26.5% on 20 Sep 2026 and the low 8.5% on 25 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 26.5% on 20 Sep 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Base iPhone 18 released by...?”.
$425.31 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.47K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is ka7ak with 62 shares; the largest No position is neshudo with 57.
Trading closes on 1 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 7:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 21 points · 19 Sep 2026 – 8 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | 12.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/base-iphone-18-released-by
| unresolved |
| No |
| 41 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 40 |
| ramc2005 | Yes | 20 |
| Majas | Yes | 16.82 |
| pppnn | Yes | 5 |
| sludgelife | No | 2 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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