Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 4%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 22 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 74 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2025 to 3 Jun 2025, the highest close was 20.5% on 22 Mar 2025 and the lowest 2.8% on 11 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 4.5% on 31 Mar 2025. $211.4K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 3, 10:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 22 Mar 2025 – 3 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2025 | 20.5% |
| 3 Jun 2025 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GayPride | No | 496.22 |
| Quiet Atlas FB8B | Yes | 6.25 |
| Xoping | No | 2.24 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barron Trump makes a public statement in any form—written, verbal, or video-recorded—by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A public statement is defined as any message or communication definitively created by Barron Trump that is disseminated through a public channel, such as a news interview, social media post from a verified personal account. Interviews of Barron which are published by recognized media will qualify, however unverified or second hand reports will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/barron-trump-public-statement-before-july
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 2.24 |
| bigipo | No | 2.21 |
| Fdstgs | No | 2.15 |
| haojinko | No | 2.03 |
| magacrypot | No | 0.03 |
| Gdub | No | 0.02 |
| Tenebrus7 | No | 0.01 |
