Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Jun 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 3% on 18 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 87 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2023 to 18 Jun 2023 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 3% on 18 Mar 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 21 Apr 2023. $379.67K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 18, 6:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 18 Mar 2023 – 18 Jun 2023, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2023 | 3.0% |
| 18 Jun 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tepid-Parser | Yes | 152.1K |
| Buoyant-Compliance | Yes | 8.22K |
| ptrader | Yes | 7.56K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 1 BTC is worth more than $1,000,000.00 USD at any time on June 17, 2023 (ET timezone). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be consensus of highly liquid price sources for BTC. This market will not resolve until June 17 has passed.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/balaji-bet-btc-1m-usd-on-june-17
| Yes |
| 5K |
| Satisfied-Documentation | Yes | 5K |
| Plastic-Willingness | Yes | 3.79K |
| dmk | Yes | 2.8K |
| Ill-Appellation | Yes | 1K |
| Vapid-Caper | Yes | 675.5 |
| Fearless-Atelier | Yes | 625 |
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