Analytics
Yes is at 99.9%, up 26 points from 73.5% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 94.2% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 73.5% on 16 Oct 2026. The current quote, 99.9%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 94.2% on 21 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 86.5% on 17 Oct 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Axis Robotics FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$3.02K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.35K since listing. The order book holds $20.54K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 66 trades, $7.43K bought Yes and $218.28 bought No; the largest was a $2.29K buy of Yes at 94.0¢.
The largest Yes position is yulen with 3.9K shares; the largest No position is LonelyScissors with 2K. Ten wallets hold 91.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 5:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 73.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 94.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yulen | Yes | 3.85K |
| CN-FAKER-T1 | Yes | 2.2K |
| LonelyScissors | No | 2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Axis Robotics's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Axis Robotics after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Axis Robotics (https://x.com/axisrobotics) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/axis-robotics-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| CORWIL |
| No |
| 1.81K |
| 2B9S | No | 528 |
| acal | No | 433.34 |
| littlepig | Yes | 307.1 |
| Haradwaith | No | 293.95 |
| nastynian | No | 285.38 |
| Numitus1994 | No | 203.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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