Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 May 2026 to 24 May 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 24 May 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 23 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 49.5% on 24 May 2026.
$274.26K has traded since listing.
The largest Stan Wawrinka position is Ivory Voyager B267 with 3 shares; the largest Arthur Fils position is bibbop with 31.
Polymarket record as of May 25, 11:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 May 2026 – 24 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | 12.5% |
| 24 May 2026 | 49.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bibbop | Arthur Fils | 30.76 |
| Lunar Orbit 52AE | Arthur Fils | 20 |
| Cobalt Kestrel 4406 | Arthur Fils | 14.57 |
| Ivory Voyager B267 | Stan Wawrinka | 2.89 |
| Misty Orbit 1E2A | Arthur Fils | 2.31 |
| Common-Recall | Arthur Fils | 1.16 |
| rass2211 | Arthur Fils | 1.15 |
| one8tyfive | Stan Wawrinka | 0.04 |
| Darling-Bathrobe | Arthur Fils | 0.02 |
| omnibus-424779 | Arthur Fils | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Arthur Fils in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Stan Wawrinka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-wawrink-fils-2026-05-24
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