Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.290 | $2.18 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 9.37 |
| $0.240 |
| $2.25 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?Yes | sell | 12.49 | $0.180 | $2.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | sell | 5.37 | $0.290 | $1.56 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | buy | 7.17 | $0.190 | $1.36 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?Yes | buy | 16.66 | $0.120 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Yes | sell | 8.55 | $0.240 | $2.05 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in July?Yes | buy | 9.59 | $0.110 | $1.05 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Yes | buy | 11.41 | $0.160 | $1.83 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.53 | $0.200 | $2.31 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.28 | $0.140 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 14.28 | $0.140 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.170 | $1.08 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.290 | $1.91 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes | buy | 10.52 | $0.190 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Yes | sell | 8.27 | $0.280 | $2.32 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulySomething | sell | 8.37 | $0.271 | $2.27 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?Yes | sell | 6.07 | $0.240 | $1.46 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Yes | buy | 11.04 | $0.181 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.160 | $0.84 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Yes | buy | 17.57 | $0.100 | $1.76 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Yes | sell | 6.33 | $0.190 | $1.2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?Yes | buy | 8.1 | $0.150 | $1.21 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.18 | $0.130 | $1.45 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.101 | $1.01 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.37 | $0.460 | $4.31 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JulySomething | buy | 11.17 | $0.179 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?Yes | sell | 12.25 | $0.160 | $1.96 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.350 | $2.63 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.95 | $0.100 | $1.2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.34 | $0.188 | $1.76 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | sell | 7 | $0.180 | $1.26 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Yes | buy | 8.44 | $0.120 | $1.01 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.296 | $2.47 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 9.37 | $0.240 | $2.25 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.140 | $1.62 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No | sell | 9.06 | $0.190 | $1.72 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No | buy | 12.08 | $0.120 | $1.45 | Jul 19, 2026 |