Analytics
Resolved Marin Cilic on 13 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Marin Cilic at 47.5%. The Adam Walton side opened at 48.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 13 Oct 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 53.5% on 12 Oct 2026. $75.09K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 10:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Adam Walton price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 13 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Adam Walton price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 48.5% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Stavaharon | Adam Walton | 3.24K |
| avotrade | Adam Walton | 2.23K |
| Bright Oracle B483 | Adam Walton | 2.02K |
| NM-P | Adam Walton | 1.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Marin Cilic in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Adam Walton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-walton-cilic-2026-10-11
| Y33 | Adam Walton | 857 |
| Faithful-Jazz | Adam Walton | 600 |
| Mother-Teresa | Adam Walton | 365.11 |
| Po1yamory | Adam Walton | 336.8 |
| carelia | Adam Walton | 156.48 |
| TuttyFruity | Adam Walton | 133.45 |
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