
Resolved No on 11 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 1.8% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the price held at 1.8%. $48.45 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 8:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 11 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 1.8% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.09K |
| korda77 | Yes | 415.67 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 236.28 |
| YouSayUpISayDown | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2026 Shanghai, China tennis tournament is scheduled for October 5–18, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tournament-winner-2026-135005
| merod | Yes | 50 |
| Well-To-Do-Caramel | Yes | 33.33 |
| twentys2 | Yes | 6.11 |
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