Analytics
Yes is at 52.5%, up 2 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026, the price held at 50.5%. The current quote, 52.5%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 50.5% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur”.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 11:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Alex de Minaur in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tien-minaur-2026-10-28
4 more markets, none above 43.5%.
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