Analytics
Resolved Learner Tien on 16 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Learner Tien at 74.5%. The Learner Tien side opened at 71.5% on 15 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 16 Aug 2026, the highest close was 74.5% on 16 Aug 2026 and the lowest 71.5% on 15 Aug 2026. $205K traded over the market's life.
148 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 10:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Learner Tien price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026, chart shows 68%–78%
| Observed | Learner Tien price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 71.5% |
| 16 Aug 2026 | 74.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elenaarybakin21 | Sebastian Baez | 5K |
| Murky-Fallingout | Sebastian Baez | 2K |
| GC-P | Sebastian Baez | 1.36K |
| Kbr | Sebastian Baez | 1.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Sebastian Baez in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tien-baez-2026-08-16
| DAKJE | Sebastian Baez | 1.3K |
| Threadbare-Wick | Sebastian Baez | 1.12K |
| seiszero | Sebastian Baez | 1.05K |
| Sad-Help | Sebastian Baez | 1K |
| Izxat | Sebastian Baez | 904.99 |
| WeBuyHighWeSelllow | Sebastian Baez | 894.29 |
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