Analytics
Resolved Matias Soto on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Matias Soto at 53%. The Matias Soto side opened at 77% on 19 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 77% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 53% on 21 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 53% on 21 Oct 2026. $288.7K traded over the market's life.
76 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 12:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Matias Soto price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Matias Soto price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 77.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 53.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Calm-Ikebana | Samuel Heredia | 12.22K |
| yesmate | Samuel Heredia | 7.6K |
| Ivory Meteor A3F3 | Samuel Heredia | 6.48K |
| CandleHammerDrums | Samuel Heredia |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matias Soto and Samuel Heredia in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matias Soto' if Matias Soto advances against Samuel Heredia. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Heredia' if Samuel Heredia advances against Matias Soto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-soto-heredia-2026-10-19
| 3.75K |
| 6512395314597884 | Samuel Heredia | 3K |
| VTL777 | Samuel Heredia | 1.2K |
| 0x1111111111 | Samuel Heredia | 991.45 |
| Jumpy-Normalization | Samuel Heredia | 757.58 |
| Doomsday77 | Samuel Heredia | 660.65 |
| Ana12a | Samuel Heredia | 657.37 |
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