Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 22 Feb 2026 to 24 Feb 2026, the highest close was 54% on 22 Feb 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 23 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 26.5% on 23 Feb 2026.
$126.57K has traded since listing.
The largest position is Sparkling-Rope with 0 Soto shares.
Polymarket record as of Feb 25, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 22 Feb 2026 – 24 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | 54.0% |
| 24 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sparkling-Rope | Soto | 0.07 |
| sirmisterk | Soto | 0.01 |
| NDCom | Soto | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Matias Soto and Tomas Etcheverry in the Chile Open, scheduled for February 23 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Soto' if Matias Soto advances against Tomas Etcheverry. This market will resolve to 'Etcheverry' if Tomas Etcheverry advances against Matias Soto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-soto-etcheve-2026-02-23
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