Analytics
Resolved Thiago Agustin Tirante on 31 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Thiago Agustin Tirante at 65%. Yes opened at 40% on 29 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2026 to 31 Mar 2026, the highest close was 40% on 29 Mar 2026 and the lowest 35% on 31 Mar 2026. $123.13K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 3:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 29 Mar 2026 – 31 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2026 | 40.0% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | 35.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Colton Smith | 13.24K |
| TOWERCAPITAL | Colton Smith | 2.98K |
| Bienville | Colton Smith | 2.29K |
| Silkybtc | Colton Smith | 893.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Colton Smith and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for March 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Colton Smith' if Colton Smith advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Colton Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-smith-tirante-2026-03-30
| Bagwell306 | Colton Smith | 525.66 |
| TennisChokers | Colton Smith | 271 |
| Po1yamory | Colton Smith | 198.62 |
| JACKISOBA | Colton Smith | 189.65 |
| dteenreal | Colton Smith | 158.86 |
| FaustianBargain | Colton Smith | 128.87 |
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