Analytics
The Tommy Paul side is at 0.1%, down 23 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026, the highest close was 23.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 0.1% on 30 Oct 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz”.
$698.67K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $262.2K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $18.03K bought Tommy Paul and $92.12K bought Carlos Alcaraz; the largest was a $14.53K sell of Carlos Alcaraz at 96.7¢.
The largest Tommy Paul position is Vps1 with 55K shares; the largest Carlos Alcaraz position is Kch-Temp with 34.6K. Ten wallets hold 50.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:53 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Tommy Paul price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Tommy Paul price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 23.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vps1 | Tommy Paul | 54.97K |
| Kch-Temp | Carlos Alcaraz | 34.56K |
| omnibus-076daa | Carlos Alcaraz | 27.31K |
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-paul-alcaraz-2026-10-30
| ferrariChampions2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | 25.19K |
| tennistrader20 | Tommy Paul | 21.26K |
| darkumbreon88 | Tommy Paul | 18.26K |
| Paul973973 | Carlos Alcaraz | 17.55K |
| kahe | Tommy Paul | 16.5K |
| jtwyslljy | Tommy Paul | 13K |
| 6512395314597884 | Carlos Alcaraz | 12.98K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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