Analytics
Resolved Ryan Nijboer on 25 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Ryan Nijboer at 67.5%. The Ryan Nijboer side was at 79.5% at 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the highest read was 81% on 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 67.5% on 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. $76.44K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 7:02 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Ryan Nijboer price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC, chart shows 60%–85%
| Observed | Ryan Nijboer price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 79.5% |
| 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 67.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Mariano Kestelboim | 30.62K |
| RN1 | Mariano Kestelboim | 3.16K |
| Irresponsible-Autumn | Mariano Kestelboim | 2.85K |
| topdogbigboi | Mariano Kestelboim |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Nijboer and Mariano Kestelboim in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Nijboer' if Ryan Nijboer advances against Mariano Kestelboim. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Kestelboim' if Mariano Kestelboim advances against Ryan Nijboer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-nijboer-kestelb-2026-10-25
| 1.43K |
| esticamos | Mariano Kestelboim | 1.32K |
| ojg | Mariano Kestelboim | 1.03K |
| Mother-Teresa | Mariano Kestelboim | 150 |
| lomatic | Mariano Kestelboim | 142.89 |
| babybells | Mariano Kestelboim | 140.59 |
| 3MillionInc-V0 | Mariano Kestelboim | 71.45 |
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