Analytics
Resolved Lukas Neumayer on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lukas Neumayer at 72%. The Lukas Neumayer side opened at 61.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 4 Mar 2026, the highest close was 72% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 61.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 72% on 4 Mar 2026. $24.36K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Lukas Neumayer price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 4 Mar 2026, chart shows 55%–75%
| Observed | Lukas Neumayer price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 61.5% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 72.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Alex Rybakov | 1.26K |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | Alex Rybakov | 108.6 |
| Yuhanis | Alex Rybakov | 46.15 |
| sirmisterk | Alex Rybakov | 42.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Lukas Neumayer and Alex Rybakov in the Hersonissos, scheduled for March 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Alex Rybakov. This market will resolve to 'Alex Rybakov' if Alex Rybakov advances against Lukas Neumayer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-neumaye-rybakov-2026-03-04
| mmori | Alex Rybakov | 22.73 |
| Zeljko05 | Alex Rybakov | 17.65 |
| zhanglu | Alex Rybakov | 10.99 |
| pringus | Alex Rybakov | 10 |
| TelegramTeleblog | Alex Rybakov | 8.69 |
| wweff | Alex Rybakov | 6.25 |
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