Analytics
Resolved Alex Michelsen on 2 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alex Michelsen at 35.5%. The Brandon Nakashima side opened at 50% on 1 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 1 Sep 2026 to 2 Sep 2026, the highest close was 64.5% on 2 Sep 2026 and the lowest 50% on 1 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 64.5% on 2 Sep 2026. $788.33K traded over the market's life.
323 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 5:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Brandon Nakashima price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 Sep 2026 – 2 Sep 2026, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Brandon Nakashima price |
|---|---|
| 1 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 2 Sep 2026 | 64.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AV23IUa | Brandon Nakashima | 75K |
| talento10 | Brandon Nakashima | 29.8K |
| ehsantrade | Brandon Nakashima | 24.84K |
| ssj3 | Brandon Nakashima | 21.46K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Alex Michelsen in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Brandon Nakashima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-nakashi-michels-2026-09-02
| AGUGava | Brandon Nakashima | 10K |
| Teslaleps | Brandon Nakashima | 7.96K |
| Reliable-Giggle | Brandon Nakashima | 7.56K |
| jiiivi655 | Brandon Nakashima | 7.52K |
| comon119 | Brandon Nakashima | 6K |
| Keen Signal 08C9 | Brandon Nakashima | 4.76K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
