Analytics
Resolved Brandon Nakashima on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Brandon Nakashima at 99.5%. The Brandon Nakashima side opened at 47% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 7 Mar 2026 and the lowest 47% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 81% on 6 Mar 2026.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 3:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Brandon Nakashima price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 5 Mar 2026 – 7 Mar 2026
| Observed | Brandon Nakashima price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 47.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 8.65K |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 526.34 |
| Emerald Pioneer C5D8 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 176 |
| MEV-PM | Camilo Ugo Carabelli |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 6 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Brandon Nakashima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-nakashi-carabel-2026-03-06
| 110 |
| sirmisterk | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 79.46 |
| Misty Oracle 1D15 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 56.67 |
| LM77 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 50 |
| chantate6968 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 48.71 |
| Weak-Pantyhose | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 39.47 |
| tomtom4 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 27.78 |
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