Analytics
Resolved Federico Cina on 26 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Federico Cina at 83.5%. The Shintaro Mochizuki side was at 43% at 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 5 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 26 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the highest read was 45.5% on 26 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC and the lowest 16.5% on 26 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. $104.65K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 6:47 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Shintaro Mochizuki price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 26 Oct, 18:00 UTC, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Shintaro Mochizuki price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 43.0% |
| 26 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 16.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lkjasdf | Shintaro Mochizuki | 7.9K |
| SunflowaRebuildYear | Shintaro Mochizuki | 5K |
| SportsGuru | Shintaro Mochizuki | 4.58K |
| omnibus-076daa | Shintaro Mochizuki |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Federico Cina in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-mochizu-cina-2026-10-27
| 3.78K |
| Rapid Oracle DA1F | Shintaro Mochizuki | 1.43K |
| MilesY | Shintaro Mochizuki | 1.02K |
| Socialista | Shintaro Mochizuki | 790.16 |
| Misty Pioneer 8764 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 543.38 |
| Lostam | Shintaro Mochizuki | 542.15 |
| RedFireStone | Shintaro Mochizuki | 319.6 |
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