Analytics
Resolved Alex Michelsen on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alex Michelsen at 85.5%. The Alex Michelsen side opened at 61.5% on 3 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 5 Sep 2026, the highest close was 85.5% on 5 Sep 2026 and the lowest 59.5% on 4 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 85.5% on 5 Sep 2026. $1.06M traded over the market's life.
185 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 1:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Alex Michelsen price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 5 Sep 2026, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Alex Michelsen price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 61.5% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 85.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ArturitoFilito | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 52.92K |
| AV23IUa | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 50K |
| Reliable-Giggle | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 17.48K |
| soukaev | Daniel Merida Aguilar |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-michels-aguilar-2026-09-04
| 17.24K |
| jaytee158 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 12.88K |
| Eminent-Pole | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 12K |
| Sick-Backyard | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 7.76K |
| MartelloneNando | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 5.76K |
| Hungry--Hippo | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 5.58K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 5.41K |
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